These projections are educational and illustrative only. They show how WikiDeal could reach sustainability under various growth assumptions, not how it will. Actual user adoption may be faster, slower, or follow a completely different curve. These scenarios are included in WikiDeal's subscription agreement as annexes for full transparency. Use the interactive simulator below to explore different assumptions.
WikiDeal's path to sustainability depends primarily on how fast we acquire users. Below are two baseline scenarios; you can adjust them with the simulator.
Break-even early Y4–Y5
Break-even late Y3–early Y4
Key assumption: Each scenario shows how the same amount (CHF 500M cumulative subscription revenue) can be reached through different adoption curves. The faster you acquire users early, the slower the multiplier needs to be.
Adjust the slider below to explore different growth multipliers and see how they affect the timeline to break-even:
WikiDeal is inspired by Wikimedia's growth trajectory:
Exponential growth in volunteer-driven projects is possible when the product is compelling and the community believes in the mission. WikiDeal could follow a similar trajectory—or a very different one.
Factors that could accelerate growth:
Factors that could slow growth:
All of these are real risks. The projections above assume none of them happen—or that they're balanced by positive surprises. In reality, your experience will likely differ.
WikiDeal's founding principle is radical transparency. We believe early adopters deserve to understand:
These projections aren't promises—they're invitations to understand the bet you're making when you support WikiDeal.